Crimea
Russian Military Planners Thinking About a Post-CIS Eurasia
October 21, 2009By Paul Goble In the clearest indication yet that senior officials in Moscow are worried about what will happen if, as seems likely, the Commonwealth of Independent States dissolves, an article in the journal of the Russian military-industrial...
Rather than Invade, Moscow Will Seek to Destabilize Ukraine
October 20, 2009By Paul Goble The Government of Georgia is convinced that Russia will not invade Ukraine, a country immeasurably stronger than Georgia, the vice premier of that South Caucasus republic said yesterday, but rather that Moscow will employ “the most...
Despite ‘Spectre of War,’ Few Ukrainians Think Moscow Will Attack
October 07, 2009By Paul Goble “Before the beginning of every war,” a Ukrainian commentator says, “there are many in society who do not believe it will happen,” however many signs there may be that point to the opening of hostilities. But then...
Some Moscow Officials Want to Hand South Ossetia Back to Georgia
October 06, 2009By Paul Goble Some Moscow officials believe that Russia lost more than it gained from its recognition of the independence of South Ossetia and, especially given the urging of Western officials now, would like to see it returned to Georgian control...
Michael Emerson: Scrapping the missiles - a tipping point?
September 30, 2009By Michael Emerson President Obama’s decision announced on 17 September to scrap the plans for a radar installation in the Czech Republic linked to missile defence installations in Poland may herald a tipping point in US and EU relations with Russia...
Ukraine’s Options Limited as Russia’s Time Runs Out
September 22, 2009By Paul Goble Russia has only a limited window of time in which it can hope to achieve its maximum hopes in Ukraine, and Ukraine has only a limited number of options to develop its relations with the Russian Federation in order to ensure its survival...
Kyiv Needs New Security Guarantees Given Russian Threat
September 12, 2009By Paul Goble A group of 29 leading public figures in Ukraine, including former president Leonid Kravchuk, is calling on the Permanent Members of the UN Security Council -- other than Russia, of course -- and the international community more generally...
Taras Kuzio: SBU Challenges the FSB in Crimea
July 14, 2009By Taras Kuzio In line with implementing stricter security policies in Sevastopol and the Crimea, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) is adopting tougher policies towards Russian intelligence activities in the peninsula. These follow the August ...
Is Kyiv Preparing to Change Course on the Crimean Tatars?
July 03, 2009By Paul Goble Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko has asked prosecutors to consider opening a criminal case against those who deported the Crimean Tatars and other ethnic groups from Crimea in 1944, an apparent response to a Crimean Tatar hunger...
'Scent of War' Spreads Across CIS
June 30, 2009By Paul Goble Nearly a year after the Russian Federation violated the longstanding assumption that no post-Soviet state would use military force against another, “the scent of war” is spreading across the Commonwealth of Independent States...